For Qwest Communications (symbol Q), a $2.4-billion pile of the green stuff, or $1.39 per share, is a lifeline while waiting for a takeover. One of the original “Baby Bells” spun off from the old AT&T in 1984, Qwest’s trouble is that “it’s basically a land-line phone company,” says George Putnam, editor of The Turnaround Letter, which ran the screen that generated the names in this story.
Qwest’s business has been in decline as cell-phone-toting customers dump their traditional phones. “Its business is like a slowly melting ice cube,” Putnam says. But he thinks the company, which generates $2 billion in annual sales and throws off about $3 billion in cash flow from its core business each year, can sustain its 32-cent-per-share annual dividend until a buyer turns up. At $4.45 a share, the stock yields a hefty 7.3% and trades for 13 times estimated 2010 profits per share of $0.33 (all share prices and related ratios are as of the February 23 close). Cash accounts for 31% of the D enver firm’s $7.8 billion market capitalization.
Square-shaped burgers, roast beef sandwiches and curly fries aren’t in long-term decline, but fast-food outlets such as Wendy’s/Arby’s Group(WEN) still have plenty of problems. Think of the last time you were in a fast-food restaurant. Was there a $1 menu? That kind of aggressive discounting cuts profits for restaurateurs who have to match rivals’ prices while coping with volatile commodity costs.
Wendy’s has struggled since 2002, when its lovable founder, Dave Thomas, passed away. In 2008, Arby’s owner at the time -- Triarc Companies, a holding company controlled by billionaire Nelson Peltz, who has a history of executing smart food-industry acquisitions and turnarounds -- acquired Wendy’s. So far, the company is on track for meeting its ambitious cost-cutting and efficiency targets, including boosting Wendy’s operating margins by five percentage points by the end of 2011 and slashing general and administrative costs. Peltz and partner Peter May together control about 22% of the joined company, which likely did about $3.6 billion in sales in 2009. At $4.87, Wendy’s/Arby’s trades for 23 times the $0.21 per share that analysts expect it to earn in 2010. Cash on the books, at $645 million, makes up more than one quarter of the firm’s $2.3 billion market capitalization.
It’s no accident that power-generator Dynegy Inc. (DYN) is sitting on $705 million, or $0.83 per share, in cash. Management has lately been selling assets in order to reduce debt and improve financial flexibility. Debt levels have been hovering at near-unmanageable levels for years, and some investors are still concerned that Dynegy could violate the terms on some of its loans.
Dynegy sells the power generated by its natural-gas and coal plants into the unregulated energy market. It’s a volatile business -- Dynegy is at the mercy of commodity prices, power prices and the weather, all of which can lead to unpredictable earnings and cash flows. But building new plants is a costly and laborious process, so long-term price trends will probably help Dynegy, as long as it can stay on top of its debt issues. Analysts expect Dynegy to lose money in 2010 . But at $1.65, the stock trades for just 0.38 times book value. And because cash accounts for half of Dynegy’s market capitalization, it’s as though investors are getting all of the firm’s assets, including its 20 power plants, for about $700 million.
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